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Stocks Retreat Mid-Session

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Stocks Retreat Mid-session

The U.S. Indices moved higher in the morning session, but gave up the gains by the close. The SPX ended the day up 0.53% to 1028 while technology heavy Nasdaq finished flat at 2093. Going into the week I expected that most U.S. indices would make another lower low. With the weak close today, I maintain that forecast.

The important price levels to watch today were 1045 resistance and 1019 support, both of which were tested today. In the morning the indices rose following bullish price action overseas. By noon, the SPX was trading above 1040 on average volume. Sellers took control shortly after and dragged the index lower from its high for the remainder of the day.

With an hour left in trading, the SPX hit 1018 and bounced into the close. Volume trailed off and advancers to decliners were about 1:1. Heading into Wednesday the indices remain weak and key support exists around 1019. Short term resistance around 1045 needs to be taken by the bulls this week to have any chance of a rally next week.

Service Sector Weakens

The U.S. service sector expanded in June, but at a less than expected 55% expected. According to a survey by the Institute for Supply Management, the ISM nonmanufacturing index declined to 53.8% last month from 55.4% in May. A recording below 50.0% indicates contraction. The news was released about thirty minutes after the open, which is also about the same time the market topped for the day.

Watch List

I was expecting lower lows this week so I took profits this morning from long positions initiated late last week. Shares of Puda Coal (Nasdaq: PUDA) were sold for $7.55 or a 14% gain from last week's $6.66 entry. Despite my bearish sentiment heading into the week, most of the watch list companies this week are bullish trades.

Shares of China Valves (Nasdaq: CVVT) fought the selling today and ended 1% higher. Shares of servicer Industrial Services of America (Nasdaq: IDSA) also ended the day higher by 1% and held the $10 area which remains key near-term support. Shares of Abercrombie Fitch (NYSE: ANF) were a top buy going into the week and started the day 5% higher before reversing into the close today and could be a nice buy into tomorrow. The euro also continued its pattern of gains rising by 0.7% to $1.26.

The indices remained pressured by selling, but strength from the euro and energy today has me optimistic a rally is near. Whipsaw Wednesday is always a good time, and tomorrow should be no exception, as the market prepares of jobs data Thursday.