Professor of Doom Scares Listeners at Davos
Any optimism contained in the Fed statement apparently didn't spread to New York University Professor Nouriel Roubini, who spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos following the FOMC release.
How to Find Safety from the Markets after a Volatile Year
In the wake of one of the most volatile years ever for stocks, safety will be a key theme among investors in 2012.
One of the Easiest Ways to Lower Your Investment Tax Bill
There's a simple way to DECREASE your tax bill, INCREASE your gains AND do so without added complexity or volatility in your portfolio.
Why is this Gold Bull Selling his Gold Now?
I don't know when I'll sell my gold for sure, but I know what I'll be looking to buy when I do.
How to Profit From Italy’s Fall
Italy, Greece, Portugal and Spain are all in big trouble... Fortunately for you there's a great way to profit from their unfortunate mess.
My Precious Metals Trading Strategy
I don't go short metals. I don't use commodity futures. I only go LONG metals - which means that I'm typically buying one metal instead of another.
You Should be Selling These Gold and Silver Investments
The biggest trick the devil ever pulled was to convince the world that he doesn't exist. And the biggest mistake an investor can make is to underestimate risk in any asset class.
Did AAPL Signal a Slowdown in Consumer Spending?
The market collapsed last week. For the past month, I've mentioned how difficult it will be for SPX to break the 1250 hump. And during the first half of September the bulls made a desperate attempt to hurdle the 1250 level.
The bulls managed to bring the SPX within a few percent of 1250 just hours before Ben Bernanke was scheduled to speak. And clearly, the bulls wanted (and were ready to get) QE3. But instead of QE3, Bennie and the Feds announced "Operation Twist."
And investors in the market shouted "SELL!"
Can gold really keep going up in price?
One of My Favorite Ways to Play Gold Right Now
The idea is, every share of GLD represents 1/10 of an ounce of real gold that the ETF's custodians keep in a vault in London. No, you can't visit your gold, nor can you have them ship it to you. Indeed, there's no way the gold in their vault will ever end up in your hands - but they do have daily and weekly updates about how much gold they have, and how much they've bought and sold. To date, they hold more than 1232 metric tons of gold bullion, worth more than $68 billion.
Trading Gold and Silver with Options (GLD)
Now, I know options might seem like a departure from my commodities background. And the overwhelming public perception of options is that they're risky.
Of course, public perception of stocks is that they're safe, and the public barely seems to understand the bond market at all - so I think you'd be best advised to ignore public opinion, if not take the opposite position of whatever the public may believe.
Dollar Tanks: Market Rallies as Euro Pops
Dennis Gartman's Unique Gold Investment Strategy (GLD, FXE, FXY, FXB)
I’m always looking for unique ways to invest in gold, and legendary investor Dennis Gartman recently discussed a way to build a gold position in other currencies…
What do I mean by other currencies? Well, as Mr. Gartman says, “If you buy gold, by definition you have gone short of the U.S. dollar.”
Now, I’m as bearish on the dollar as anyone over the long term, but just like no bull market goes up in a straight line, no bear market drops straight through the floor.
And right now, the dollar is absolutely in the gutter – even relative to other at-least-as-crappy currencies like the Euro or the Yen.
Here’s a one year chart of the dollar index – which plots the exchange rate of the dollar against a basket of other (fiat) currencies.
Commodities Poised for Snap-back Rally
Are We Destined For A Gold Standard, Steve Forbes Thinks So
The Slide in Metal Continued
Precious Metals Recover After Late Night Plunge
Just Keep Buying Stocks
The Fed Gave You Another Reason To Buy Stocks
Will the Government Shut Down Crash the Stock Market
Employment Expands in March
Stocks Fall on the Ides of March
Gold Hysteria Leads To Precious Metal Hoarding (GLD, SLV)
The Vietnamese government just banned free market trading of gold bars within the country. This comes just days after Egypt announced that it has banned gold exports. As precious metals like gold and silver soar amid economic imbalances, the reasons to own them, and the stocks of companies that mine them, become even more compelling.
How to Trade the Oil Crisis
Richmont Mines (AMEX: RIC) Shows Why Gold and Silver Bars Don't Cut It
If you want to get rich from gold and silver, the
physical bars and coins won’t cut it. Physical metals are great as a
store of value, but that's it. The best we can realistically hope for
with gold and silver bullion is to stay one step ahead of inflation, and
protect our principle. Physical gold has never, ever paid a dividend.
There’s no compound interest. No cash-flow. Richmont Mines (AMEX: RIC) is
one way to invest.
Are Commodities Topping Out
Gold Breaks $1,400 on Jobs Numbers, China, and Europe
The spot price for gold was $1,413 as of 4:00 p.m. eastern time. Gold hit all time highs in November then backed off as the dollar gained strength primarily due to weakness in the euro. Today gold retraced back to over $1,400 on labor department numbers showing anemic job creation and the revelation of China's gold import numbers.
The Labor department announced employers added only 39,000 jobs in November, far below analyst expectations and the strong gains of 172,000 in October. The overall unemployment number crept closer to 10% as it rose to 9.8% after months of holding at 9.6%.
Gold and other commodities priced in dollars have a tendency to rise in value when the U.S. dollar falls relative to other currencies. Many investors also consider it a “safe asset” to hold when there's uncertainty in the stock market or the dollar, or both.
The Cheapest Gold ETFs
It’s not enough to pick the right investment class- you also have to pick the right investment. And money that’s paid unnecessarily in expenses might as well be flushed down the toilet.
So I thought I’d do some digging and find the cheapest gold ETFs in the market.
And I was pretty surprised at what I found.
Before I get started, I want to remind you that I’m not a huge fan of owning gold in an ETF. I prefer either the safety of physical gold, OR the upside of owning gold stocks. The ETFs I talk about today are strictly physical gold proxies. I understand that taking delivery of physical gold is not convenient or attractive for everybody.
And I recognize that for some investors, these types of ETFs make sense.
How to Play the Irish Bailout
It’s one of those situations in investing that often defies logic - and leads to big opportunities. When the majority of investors become convinced that a trade can only go one way, well, it often doesn’t.
And as I’ll show you, there can be easy gains to be had when you understand this.
For this example, I’m talking about the U.S. dollar.
You’ll probably recall the vicious downtrend the
dollar entered in the two months leading up to Ben Bernanke’s second
round of quantitative easing.
How to buy gold and silver in your IRA
After my last article about my predictions for the price of silver I’ve received dozens of emails asking about buying precious metals in a variety of tax-sheltered accounts.
Most questions were about IRAs.
And while I AM NOT a tax accountant, or even a regular accountant, or even especially well versed in the labyrinthine intricacies of tax-law, I did some research, and I think I have a helpful answer.
But you might not like what you have to hear.
First - I advise you to speak to a tax attorney before making any big decisions regarding your IRA.
The first thing you need to know about adding gold or silver to your IRA is that not all IRA custodians are set up to do so.
The Next Move for Gold: How to Profit
Gold Not at Record High
While most of the mainstream media readily announces new "highs" for the price of gold, The New York Times just published an article denouncing such statements.
From the story: "The actual record was set 30 years ago, when the price of gold, in today's dollars, hit $2,387, or 71 percent higher than it closed on Tuesday."
It's important to remember that gold's price has much further to run before it matches inflation adjusted highs set in 1980.
Gold Soars to $1,400 as World Bank President Debates a Return to Gold Standard
Yesterday, the President of
the World Bank, Robert Zoellick discussed the idea of using gold as a
"reference point of market expectations about inflation, deflation and
future currency values."
He went on to say, "Although textbooks may view gold as the old money, markets are using gold as an alternative monetary asset today."
Mr. Zoellick's comments were timed in advance to a meeting later this week of the G20 nations in South Korea.
Buy Alert Issued for Gold Miner
What Yen Intervention Means for Gold
Last night, Japan did something it hasn't done since 2004. It sold yen to push the value of its currency lower. A weaker yen helps Japanese exports and is a tool for fighting deflation in the country. Japan officials didn't say how much yen they sold, but it drove the dollar 3% higher against the currency.
As we know, a stronger dollar will push oil prices lower. And it will affect stocks, too.
Japanese stocks are up 2% across the board. We'll see if it affects U.S. stocks to that degree. Declines are likely to be short-lived as the market adjusts to the yen intervention. This will be the dip to buy for investors who missed the start of the current rally.
How to buy gold and silver
While I've been answering many of these questions in a piecemeal fashion throughout issues of the Resource Prospector, I thought I'd once and for all cobble the information together in one place.
Like anything, if you're just getting started in buying gold and silver it can be a somewhat daunting process.
That's because there are about as many different precious metal vendors as there are types of coins, and it can be a bit of a minefield if you don't know EXACTLY what you're looking for, how much you should be paying, and perhaps most importantly, why you're buying precious metals in the first place.
I recently received a question from reader David W. which seems to encapsulate just about every possible angle of this topic:
The case against gold
If you own gold and gold stocks, I say good for you. Gold is up about 10% year to date, and gold stocks seem to be the only bright light in an otherwise dim stock market.
And as much as I'd like to take credit for urging you to buy gold and gold stocks - it's ultimately your choice, your responsibility and your glory for your investment success.
But today I want to discuss the arguments surrounding the very fiscal policy that has so far allowed gold to make strides higher as world currencies continue to fall.
As I type, the Federal Government is no doubt pondering another massive stimulus package. Whenever the government asks the question "To spend or not to spend" the answer is almost always "spend, and if that doesn't work, spend some more."
It's an answer that comes easily, and not just because the Fed is run by unelected officials -or because spending is easier than listening to constituent groups complain that you're not spending - the simple truth is that the spenders have a cut-and-dried theory of economics on their side: Keynesianism.
Wall Street’s ETF Tricks
Today I’m going to blow the lid clean off of what I consider to be the biggest tar-pit for individual investors in the market today.
Exchanged Traded Funds – (ETFs) have been sold to the public as easy ways to buy into specific sectors in the stock market. They’re billed with attractive descriptors like “low-load mutual funds” or “poor man’s hedge funds” - or any of a variety of warm, fluffy names depicting them as “easy” ways to capture huge profits.
I’m reminded of an axiom known as the Designers Triangle, which states: a project can be done fast, cheap or good. Pick two.
I’ll amend this axiom for investors. The Investors Triangle states: an investment can be profitable, easy, or fast. Pick one. The obvious choice you’ll make is “profitable” – and these types of investments are rarely easy or fast.
Remind yourself of this axiom the next time someone tells you that a prospective investment has all three characteristics. Most of the best investors in the world made lots of money over a long period of time, and I don’t think any of them would tell you it was especially easy.
Rambo Bernanke
Stocks turned lower during Thursday trading after a new jobless claims report released today cast a pall on a rally that began days ago.
At 12:13 pm ET, the Russell 2000 (NYSE:IWM) is down 3.37, or 0.81%, at 414.26, while the Dow is down 1.12%, at 7,402.71, and S&P 500 is down 0.99% at 786.51.
Stocks opened higher this morning on lingering investor enthusiasm over Wednesday’s news that the Fed is planning to pump $1 trillion into the economy. The good news failed to last long though as new jobless claims data this morning showed a higher-than-expected drop of 646,000, while continuing claims set a new record.
Small caps making double-digit gains this afternoon include dry-bulk shipper DryShips (Nasdaq:DRYS), which is up 22% after announcing a $630 million three-year contract from Petrobras. Energy companies are also rising today as oil is climbing back above $50 per barrel. James River Coal (Nasdaq:JRCC) is up 19% on lower-than-average volume, while Rex Energy Corp. (Nasdaq:REXX) is up over 27%.
Rambo Bernanke
On Wednesday, the FOMC voted unanimously to buy over $1 trillion dollars in U.S. Treasury bills, corporate bonds, mortgages and consumer debt.
Chief economist at Bank of New York Mellon Corp. called it a “Rambo Fed” move in a Bloomberg interview.
Bonds immediately rallied, with the 10-year note putting in the biggest one-day gain since 1962. Stocks rallied, too, which is a bit unusual. Bond and stock prices tend to move in opposite directions. When stocks appear risky, money goes into the safe haven of bonds, and vice versa. But these are strange times, and with the Fed taking unprecedented steps to ward off deflation and get lending moving again, it’s not that surprising that some old relationships are being tested.
Bernanke’s intent is clear – he wants to make sure interest rates stay low. Overnight interest rates are already zero. Any more easing and the Fed . . .
















