What the Fed Said
Today, I'm wondering if the market was worried that the Fed would announce QE3 at the yesterday's conclusion of the most recent FOMC meeting. I mean, how else do we explain the 429 point ramp job the Dow Industrials put in?
It may not have been a majority, but there were a significant number of economists who were expecting the Fed to announce the next phase of quantitative easing, or QE3, yesterday.
It didn't happen...
Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold
The parallels between the current recovery and the "jobless recovery" of 2003-2004 just keep coming.
Readers may remember the period, marked by investors' "not too hot, not too cold" bias. Stocks would sell-off if economic data was too good, because it implied the Greenspan Fed would reverse its interest rate policy.
Conversely, data that hugged the flat line, came in slightly positive, or even slightly negative, would rally stocks because it meant there was no danger of an end to the low interest rate environment.
Jobless Recovery
Investors were too busy watching stocks get pounded yesterday to notice a bit of good news. Factory orders rose 1.3%. That was more than twice what economists were expecting.
That prompted Pierpont Securities chief economist Stephen Stanley to say “Manufacturing is unambiguously the strongest part of the economy…” He’s not kidding.
Weed out the 67% decline in domestic aircraft orders and you get a 3.1% jump in factory orders. That’s the biggest gain since 2005.
Gold’s Pullback
You
might
have heard the news on Friday about Goldman Sachs’ recent trouble with
the
SEC. The SEC is suing Goldman for
defrauding investors of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). The fraud comes in because Goldman
(allegedly) did not disclose to CDO investors that Paulson & Co.
helped put
together these investments while at the same time betting against them.
It
seems
that Paulson’s foresight in betting against mortgage backed securities
issued
by Goldman Sachs has his fund under scrutiny from the SEC as well.



















