The Real Risk to Oil In the Middle East
It's not Saudi Arabia the market is worried about. Saudi Arabia is quite wealthy. And while you can't say that the people of Saudi Arabiahave American-like freedom, at least the ruling family spends money on education, infrastructure and technology.
No, the fear is that protests will spread to Iraq, Iran and Kuwait. Those countries represent close to 10 million barrels of daily oil production. They are not politically stable. Disruptions to oil production in these countries would have a huge effect on oil prices.
No Doubt About Intel
Yesterday I gave a somewhat tongue in cheek treatment to the question of whether Alcoa (NYSE:AA) had beaten analysts’ earnings expectations or not.
Intel (Nasdaq:
What’s next for Intel? Fixing the housing problem?
Sovereign Wealth Fund and Commercial Real Estate
The AP is reporting that
In my opinion, this line of thinking is completely unrealistic.
China’s state-run investment company, the China Investment Corporation (CIC), is already involved in a buyout offer for shopping mall owner General Growth Properties (NYSE:
Reader Mail
Stocks continue their upward climb. As TradeMaster's
The retail sales data from February is positive. Despite two crippling blizzards on the East Coast, sales still rose 0.3%. And if you strip out autos, sales were up 0.8%.
Normally, it makes no sense to ignore auto sales because they are obviously an important gauge of consumer spending, but in light of the recalls from
Sales were especially strong for electronics and at restaurants and bars. Sounds like consumers are celebrating their new iPhone purchase over a beer. That’s probably led to a surge in drunk-texting.
Retail sales from January have now been revised lower two times, from an initial reading of +0.5% to the current +0.1%. Funny thing about this rally – economic data is consistently revised lower, and no one cares. The only exception I can think of is 4Q 2009
Economic data has been improving. But it says more about the bullishness of investors that they are consistently overlooking negative data. That gives me more confidence that we will be seeing new highs for the major indices soon.
Now, let’s wrap up our week with some Reader Mail…
China to the Rescue
For the past year, the fate of commercial real estate in the
Given that a good portion of these properties are underwater, and the fact that banks are still reluctant to lend, the concern that many of these loans won’t get refinancing seems valid.
Already, we have seen companies simply walk away from properties that are losing money, turning the keys over to the banks that hold the mortgages. Maguire Properties (NYSE:MPG) has done it. And we’ve seen BlackRock (NYSE:
For shareholders, these moves make sense because it’s better than throwing good money after bad. For Maguire, it was a matter of life or death for the company.
Still, it’s a concern because someone has to step up and buy the impaired real estate from the banks. Otherwise, bank balance sheets are saddled with even more toxic assets, capital bases fall, lending dries up and the whole financial crisis gets repeated again.
Interestingly, it may be the Chinese who help the




















