Kevin McElroy

The Only Natural Gas Company I Like Right Now

This natural gas company has very little debt and has producing wells throughout North America.

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Wyatt Research Staff

Earn 2x the Yield with Two Dividend-Growing Energy Stocks (PAA, PNG)

For income-deprived investors, the oil and gas sector is a great place to search for dividend stocks.
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Tyler Laundon

Why Third Quarter Results Say Buy Small Companies Now (EMAN, PTEN, PDC, FXEN, GDXJ, NVO)

It's always tough to buy stocks when you should - just like it takes guts to be the first person to jump into the ocean after a shark attack, even in places where those are rare events.
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Kevin McElroy

Asia's Wild West Now Open for Business

I've asked my friend George Stubos, an expert energy and commodity investor to shed some light on something that I'm not quite up to speed on just yet: Mongolia.
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Kevin McElroy

If Oil is Cheap Why is Gas So Expensive?

Lower oil prices aren't really good news. Moreover, low oil prices don't even mean low gasoline prices - as you may have noticed lately.
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Wyatt Research Staff

Is the Sell-Off in Oil Overdone?

Over the last year, overseas tensions drove the price of oil higher and had many people worried. Lately, the price of oil has plummeted on economic growth concerns.
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Jason Cimpl

European Optimism Leads Bulls Higher


The market was slammed yet another time yesterday. Although unlike Thursday and Friday, the indices recovered into the close.

Once again financials led the charge lower and the big banks like JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Citigroup (NYSE:C) were down 3%. Energy and technology components were also hurt and stocks like Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and IBM (NYSE:IBM) were down 1% and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), Apache (NYSE:APA), Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR), which we're short, and Halliburton (NYSE:HAL) were down 2%.
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Kevin McElroy

The Most Important Natural Gas Story in a Decade


In 2002, the United States Geological Survey (USGS), America's authority on natural gas, (among other stuff you need to dig up, drill, mine or quarry), released a report saying that the Marcellus Shale of New York and Pennsylvania then had 2 trillion cubic feet of natural gas.

Then in July of 2011, the Department of Energy (DOE) upgraded that estimate to more than 400 trillion cubic feet.

But yesterday, the USGS revised its initial estimate up to 84 trillion feet - or down to 84 trillion feet, depending on which estimate you were looking at.
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Ian Wyatt

The Market Laughs at Obama

The market activity could not have gone worse for the bulls yesterday. On high volume, the indices slumped lower from the open and into the close. The dollar rose, which added pressure to the energy sector and the technology sector displayed weakness as well.

Most of the big U.S. banks held up well in yesterday's decline, but those petty gains could not turn the market back around.

The worst part about yesterday's decline is that the market was supposed to finish higher. Over the weekend policy makers worked-out the framework for a successful debt deal. Many investors believed that the large decline last week was the result of a potential U.S. default...
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Ian Wyatt

This Company Makes BP Pay Up

Concerns over limited future oil production in the Middle East point to the growing importance of domestic energy production. The Obama administration, just like every administration before it, appears adamant that domestic energy production must grow.

While there remain concerns about the future of offshore oil exploration in the wake of the BP (NYSE: BP) disaster, land-based drilling for oil and natural gas is a sector likely to see continued growth.

One standout contender is Patterson UTI Energy (Nasdaq: PTEN), a Texas-based company that drills onshore wells for other companies that explore for oil and natural gas.
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Kevin McElroy

Do You Own America’s Largest Natural Gas Company?

Natural gas is so laughably cheap right now and yet most investors are completely clueless about it.

How cheap is it?

Well, right now a barrel of oil costs about $95.

For the equivalent amount of energy, you'll pay just $24 for natural gas.

On an inflation-adjusted basis, oil has NEVER been as cheap as $24 a barrel. Obviously, natural gas is an inferior fuel, but on an energy-to-energy basis, it's almost impossible to find an instance in modern history when fuel was this cheap.
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Kevin McElroy

A Commodity Asset Allocation Strategy

Today I'm cooped up in an Alexandria, Virginia hotel room while my wife attends a National Association of Drug Court Professionals conference.

If you're not familiar with drug courts, and how they can save our criminal justice system huge amounts of money every year, you should read this brief article in the Economist about how drug courts keep drug addicted Veterans out of prison - by keeping them clean and sober.

I won't ruin the ending, but basically these courts seek to help people beat their addictions instead of throwing them in jail where they're not likely to get much of any treatment - and their rate of drug abuse is likely to increase. A novel approach...

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Kevin McElroy

A Note to All Chinese CEOs: Knock it Off or Die! (PUDA, LLEN, CGA, CHNG, VICL)

I’m a big believer in the Chinese growth story. As famed commodity investor Jim Rogers says, “the 19th century was the century of the UK, the 20th century was the century of the US, the 21st century is going to be the century of China."

Until recently, one of my favorite ways to play the inevitability of the China growth story was to buy a company called Puda Coal (NYSE: PUDA).

If you’ve been reading my letter for very long, you know what’s going on with coal in China. Coal burning power plants produce over 2/3 of the electricity in China, and a significant portion of that coal has to be imported to China from places like Australia.

That means that demand for domestic coal production has a margin of safety. For Chinese firms, domestic Chinese coal is cheaper, easier to access, and absent of political or regional conflicts or difficulties.

I particularly had interest in Puda, because the company produces metallurgical or coking coal. This type of coal is vital to the production of steel, and so, it’s vital to the production of high-rises and skyscrapers that seem to be popping up in China today like dandelions after a late-Spring rainstorm.

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Kevin McElroy

How the West was Lost

We’re well past the point of being equal partners in the usage of the world’s energy resources. If the chart on the left is any indication, we’re actually well on our way to becoming rather inconsequential as a global energy consumer.

And from the chart on the left, it’s pretty clear that any growth in developing world energy consumption means a commensurate decrease in energy consumption on a percentage basis – but what might not be so clear from the chart on the right: we’re at a point when there’s very little room for emerging world energy consumption to increase without necessarily decreasing energy consumption in the developed world.

To butcher a quote from the 2009 movie “There Will Be Blood” – the emerging markets are starting to drink our milkshakes.

The coal milkshake went first. China surpassed the United States as the world’s largest coal consumer in 2009. Today, China uses more energy than the United States, by a 5-10% margin depending on who you ask.

What’s the next milkshake? It might be oil. China’s oil consumption doubled in the last 6-7 years:

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Ian Wyatt

There is Little Doubt that Asia Needs Our Coal (CLD, RIO)

Japan's nuclear disaster probably set back the world's push toward nuclear-powered electric generation by years. Instead of huge nuclear energy expansion, which had been planned, we're likely going to see more nations stick with tried-and-true coal-fired electric plants, along with further expansion into natural gas.

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Jason Cimpl

Japan Recovers

The market blasted higher out of the gate yesterday. Although it moved (painfully) sideways with almost no activity for the rest of the session. The rally was mainly bolstered by energy and industrial
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Ian Wyatt

An Early End to QE2?

Richmond Fed president Lacker is out today saying he expects GDP growth to approach 4% this year, and as a result of stronger than expected growth, the Fed must re-evaluate its QE2 policy.

 

I am very curious to see how investors will react to the possibility that QE2 may be ending. The policy is set to conclude in June, anyway. And I would suspect that the Fed will continue until then, regardless of growth.

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Kevin McElroy

“Food riots in America? You’re crazy…”

Just to be clear, “lexicon” is a fancy word that means vocabulary – and “food riot” is a phrase that refers to a group of angry, hungry, violent people who destroy property because they feel (among other things) that food prices are too high.

And yes, to answer any questions from the peanut gallery in my office, I do believe we’ll see food riots in these United States of America sometime in the next year and a half.

I’m belaboring this point because I want to be crystal clear with this prediction, not because I especially like making predictions. Quite the opposite, actually – I detest making predictions because it’s so easy to be wrong on the scope, specifics, time-frame, location, etc.

In that vein, if I am wrong about this prediction, it will probably be a matter of my timing rather than anything else.

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Kevin McElroy

This Commodity is Falling to 2006 Price Levels

I hope this 6th of May is finding you in good spirits, and that you’re not experiencing the downside of tequila over-enjoyment. Nothing against Mexican independence, but a foreign national holiday, partly concocted for American consumption by shrewd liquor companies, is not a good enough excuse for me to tie one on in the middle of the week.

And this time of year in Vermont, it’s just too nice out to want to risk ruining the next day with a tequila and sugar borne hangover. (By the way, if you know of a good hangover cure, please send it to me at editorial@resourceprospector.com)

Too much of a good thing is almost always no fun. Likewise, a bumper crop of sugar from Brazil and India is causing some severe consequences for prices.

The average American uses 156 pounds of sugar every year. At current price levels of about 15 cents a pound, that comes to only $23 and change.

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Kevin McElroy

How to Buy the World's Cheapest Commodity

What is the cheapest commodity?  I've talked about natural gas, and how extraordinarily cheap it is.  In the April 5th issue of the Resource Prospector, I said that buying natural gas at current prices is like "buying gasoline for 48 cents a gallon."

I've talked about coal too – and why I think it's still undervalued.  We're going to be using more and more coal every year, and so are China, India and Europe.  We can't escape this trend no matter how much we'd like to. 

And I've mentioned that while I'm still super-bullish on gold, I think silver can rise much higher, much faster in the near term. 

I've made the case for these commodities and others in past issues of the Resource Prospector, and I still think these trends are extremely strong. 

But there's one commodity I haven't talked about, indeed, that no one is talking about – and it's still as cheap as it's ever been. 

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Kevin McElroy

Radioactive Warning

There are always at least two sides to every commodity story, the biggest being supply and demand.

In yesterday’s issue of the Resource Prospector, I talked about demand for uranium. After following and untangling the threads, it seems like demand is slated to rise. That’s according to two of the biggest authorities on the subject, the World Nuclear Association, and the Nuclear Energy Agency.

Today, I’ll tackle the supply side of the equation – and I’ll show how current annual production of uranium falls well short of annual consumption.

I unearthed a WNA chart to better show this contrast, which I believe will be the real catalyst for higher uranium prices.


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Kevin McElroy

Uranium in the Mail

There’s nothing better than a well articulated question to get the juices flowing on a Monday morning. To that point, I was glad to see a question from John B. of the UK in my inbox today.

John’s main point: uranium production numbers can be confusing. I agree.

There’s a few main issues that, for the most part, are largely unknown.

John asked,

“Mining Weekly (RSA) has just quoted NEA [Nuclear Energy Agency] DG Luis Echavarri, ‘By 2030, there will not be a very significant change in the number of NPPs [Nuclear Power Plants] in the world’.

You quote WNA [World Nuclear Association] reckoning on 5 times more uranium demand than at present in 2030!

Have you researched the schedule of closures and new build openings? It is all very confusing.”

John raises a good question that certainly merits further research.  It is confusing when two authorities on nuclear power seem to be in disagreement over how many plants will be built in the next 20+ years and how much that might affect demand for uranium. But upon closer inspection, I don’t think they are really disagreeing.

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Kevin McElroy

Down With Uranium?

In some parts of Vermont, you can walk down the street with a loaded .357 magnum on your hip, in plain view, and no one will bat an eye. Vermont is also the only state in the country where you can hunt fish with a gun. I’ve heard northern pike can be vicious, but seriously? We also don’t have any restrictions on concealed carry. As long as someone hasn’t been convicted of a felony, they can pack heat in Vermont. Are we politer for it? I can’t tell.

Yes, Vermont is probably the best place to go skiing on the East coast – but it’s also gorgeous and extremely livable in the summer. To that point, it does get pretty darn cold during the winter – usually there’s a week or two where we dip into the negative 20s. But the hottest days of the summer will scratch into the low 100s on occasion.

The biggest contradiction might be that Vermont gets a good chunk of its electricity from a nuclear plant called “Vermont Yankee.”

I know…you’re thinking: “liberal state” and “nuclear power” do not go together very well. And you’re right. It seems that Vermonters have been trying to close Vermont Yankee ever since it opened. Lately, the calls for its closure have grown much more shrill and frequent after a small amount of nuclear waste water *may* have leaked into the Connecticut River – the river that separates Vermont and New Hampshire, passes through the middle of Massachusetts and eventually outlets into the ocean on the Connecticut coast.

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Kevin McElroy

Why You Should Buy Natural Gas Right Now

Last Thursday, April 1, I talked about how inexpensive natural gas was getting. If you bought natural gas last week, it was the equivalent of buying gasoline for 48 cents a gallon.  Prices had to go up. 

It’s good to know I wasn’t alone in my proclamation, as both the Daily Profit editor, Ian Wyatt and Trademaster Daily Stock Alerts editor Jason Cimpl noticed the same trend. Ian is my boss and CEO of Wyatt Research – as well as one of the best fundamental analysts I’ve ever met or worked with. Jason is a wunderkind technical analyst and is frequently one step ahead of the market. They don’t always agree, just because they have different time-lines and different investment philosophies - so when they do agree, it’s a good idea to take notice.

And in Friday trading, gas prices bounced off their 6 months lows.

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Kevin McElroy

Are We the World's Dumbest People?

You probably remember when gasoline cost 48 cents a gallon. It was in 1974 – not so long ago, really.

Inflation adjusted for 2009 dollars, gas was never that cheap though. It bottomed in 1999 at about $1.40.

So I realize it sounds too good to be true to suggest that you can buy gas for 48 cents today. With most of us paying close to $3/gallon it’s just a ridiculous claim.

And of course, there is a catch. Consider it a small April Fools day hoax.

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Ian Wyatt

Lennar's Windfall

So far this year 15 banks have been closed by the FDIC. Last year, it was 134, if I'm counting the closing figures right as posted on the FDIC website. Some of you may remember the last time there were mass amounts of bank closings during the S&L crisis of the late '80s and early '90s. At the time, a special agency, the Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) was set up to dispose of the assets of these banks.

The RTC was controversial because many times it sold assets at prices far below market value. Ultimately though, the RTC succeeded in getting assets seized from insolvent banks into stronger hands. And because some of these "stronger hands" had low cost structures due to low up front costs, a new phase of growth was born.

A similar thing is happening now. Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN), a homebuilder, recently picked up $3 billion worth of unfinished homes from the FDIC for about 40 cents on the dollar. Lennar only had to put up $243 million. The FDIC kicked in $365 million and provided 0% interest financing.

Because Lennar's upfront costs are so low, it will be able to hire the workers needed to finish the homes and offer those homes for sale at a price that makes sense for buyers. This is how growth returns after a bubble.

But this time there's a twist. The $365 million put up by the FDIC? It's an equity stake. Yes, rather than simply disposing of the assets to the highest bidder the FDIC, and by extension the government, now has a stake in those unfinished homes.

The FDIC could turn a profit here. But by offering financing and providing an interest-free loan, the FDIC is also supporting home valuations by not letting these unfinished homes sell at absolute rock bottom prices.

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Lisa Springer

Sector Watch: Nuclear power stocks

The nuclear power industry may reap a multi-billion dollar windfall if new legislation passes that imposes regulatory limits on carbon dioxide emissions from power plants. Emissions-free nuclear power facilities would benefit, as would nuclear fuel suppliers Uranium Resources, Inc. (Nasdaq:URRE) and USEC, Inc. (NYSE:USU).

USEC Inc. supplies uranium fuel to commercial nuclear power plants worldwide. This company operates the only uranium enrichment facility in the United States and supplies fuel to more than half the U.S. market and one-quarter of the world market. USEC also performs contract work for the U.S. Department of Energy; it maintains two uranium processing plants, transports nuclear materials and provides nuclear fuel cycle consulting.

Demand for enriched uranium will likely rise if Congress votes to limit carbon dioxide emissions under a so-called “cap and trade” system. The intent of the program is to cut greenhouse gas emissions 65% below 1990 levels by 2050. As part of this program, the Environmental Protection Agency will create 125 billion purchasable emission allowances, enough for all 38 years of the program, which is scheduled to commence in 2012.

Nuclear facility operators will benefit in two ways. First, since nuclear plants do not emit carbon dioxide, these plants will not be required to purchase emission allowances, giving them a major cost advantage over coal-powered plants. Second, to recover emission-allowances costs, coal-fired utilities would be forced to jack up electricity rates. As a result, nuclear plants would enjoy higher prices for their electricity without higher costs. Finally, carbon emissions penalties would make the economics of developing a new nuclear plant more attractive.

At present, there are some 439 nuclear reactors operating worldwide. Another 33 are under construction and 94 new plants are scheduled to come online over the next five to 10 years. These plants currently consume some 79,000 tons of uranium each year, but each new gigawatt of capacity will require 195 tons of additional uranium production.

The majority of reactors served by USEC are refueled on an 18- to 24-month cycle, and most of the company’s customers refueled in 2007. As a result, USEC . . .

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Paul Rolfes

James River Coal: Tomorrow's another day

Rising fuel costs have grabbed the headlines over the past few years, with consumers feeling the pinch at the gas pump and in heating their homes. Much of the attention has focused on crude oil and natural gas, keeping coal buried deep in the news coverage.

Yet coal prices are rising, too, mostly on increased demand from Europe and Asia, and production shortages overseas. That’s good news for U.S. coal producers of all sizes, including James River Coal Co. (Nasdaq:JRCC). The stock closed Monday at $26, then following a release Tuesday morning that showed a steeper-than-expected first-quarter loss, the stock actually gained 10.31%, closing up $2.68 at $28.68.

That’s not some sort of a weird reverse reaction. Most of those gains followed a midmorning conference call, on which James River Coal’s chairman and chief executive, Peter Socha, offered his take on rising prices, and how his company is likely to benefit.

Coal is hot, with the Dow Jones U.S. Coal Index up 75% in the past year. Ahead of its Q1 report, James River Coal on Monday hit an intraday 52-week high of $27.19 — roughly eight times the 52-week low of $3.56 hit Aug. 16.

Investors have to dig deep into James River Coal Co. for that diamond in the rough. Analysts following the Richmond, Va., mining company offer a favorable outlook, with three calling it a “buy” and two rating it “hold,” according to Thomson Financial.

Founded in 1988 through the combination of smaller operations, with others added over the years, James River Coal overextended itself and entered into bankruptcy protection in 2003. A new James River Coal emerged from the tangles . . .

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Shannon Roxborough

Check on China: Hanwei Energy Services

In late January and the first half of February, China's worst snowstorms and most severe winter weather since the government began keeping records in 1950 wreaked havoc on the country's energy infrastructure. Heavy snowfall, sleet and freezing temperatures disrupted coal shipments, crippled mainland transportation networks near oil and gas production facilities, snapped power lines, froze pipelines and even caused a number of power plants to shut down.
 
Outages left millions without power. Coal, which fuels 80% of China’s electricity supply, soared to record prices. Inflation in the country surged to an 11-year high in February. And electricity shortages, spikes in energy prices and the Chinese government's freezing of oil, natural gas, electricity and water prices for individual consumers are squeezing energy company profits.
 
The good news is the unusually rough weather that caused $3 billion in damages, according to the Civil Affairs Ministry, has blown over. And while it promises to be a tough year for China's battered energy industry, Chinese power companies and their suppliers remain good long-term bets, since the country's energy demand will continue to be robust (many industry analysts say Chinese power companies can expect double-digit consumption growth).
 
Hanwei Energy Services Corp. (TSE: HE.TO) serves major energy companies by providing products for the oil, coal, and wind power industries. The company manufactures and sells high-pressure, FRP (fiberglass reinforced plastic) pipes to the oil industry, develops pollution control products for the coal industry, and also engages in wind blade and other wind power product production.
 
Last December, Hanwei entered into an agreement with Daqing Deta Electric Co. Ltd., a provider of wind power turbines, blades, towers and control systems, to supply $232 million of wind power equipment over a three-year period. The initial order called for Hanwei to engineer, build and provide Deta with various wind power products, including 20 FRP wind blade sets, 20 turbines and 30 towers.
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Lisa Springer

Sector Watch: Energy infrastructure stocks

With global energy demand expected to rise 54% by 2025, accompanied by increasing oil prices, Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. (Nasdaq: GIFI) and Hiland Holdings GP, LP (Nasdaq: HPGP) are benefiting from increased oil exploration activity and production spending by oil companies.

Gulf Island Fabrication builds drilling and production platforms that enable offshore oil exploration by energy companies. The company also constructs specialized structures used in off-shore production, such as jackets and decks for fixed production platforms and hulls and decks used for floating platforms, production storage and offloading vessels, offshore living quarters and tankers and barges. In addition, Gulf Island Fabrication provides offshore oilfield services such as connecting pipelines, lifting platform sections to be integrated into offshore ships, loading and offloading drilling rigs and production hulls, warehousing cargo and other materials.

The company operates fabrication yards in Louisiana and Texas and serves oilfield customers working in the Gulf of Mexico, Africa, the Middle East and the North Sea.

During the first nine months of 2007, Gulf Island Fabrication’s revenues improved 57% year-over-year to $371.8 million from $236.2 million and net income jumped 27% year-over-year to $22.3 million, or $1.56 per share, from $17.6 million, or $1.27 per share. Net income grew more slowly than revenues because of pass-through and contract labor costs Gulf Island Fabrication plans to pass on its customers.

So far in 2007, the company has increased cash dividend 33% to a $0.90 annualized rate. The outlook for the fourth quarter is equally as favorable: Gulf Island Fabrication ended the September quarter with a revenue backlog of $245.2 million and a labor backlog of approximately 2.7 million man-hours. Analysts expect this company to produce 35% growth this year, 28% growth next year and longer-term growth averaging 26% annually. Given this growth outlook, these shares appear reasonably priced at a nine times P/E multiple. My $35 target for Gulf Island Fabrication is above the closing price of $25.35 on Tuesday. The stock has traded between $24.88 and $39.37 over the last 52 weeks.

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Will Atkinson

Flotek Industries plummets on lowered guidance

Flotek Industries, Inc. (NYSE: FTK) shares are plummeting after the Houston-based company lowered its fiscal 2007 earnings guidance to a range of $0.88 to $0.92 per share, from previous guidance of earning $1 per share. Analysts, on average, expect Flotek to earn $1.02 per share.

“The growth fundamentals of our core businesses remain sound, and the pace of North American oilfield service activity seems to be strengthening in January,” CEO Jerry Dumas said in a statement. “We believe the business line additions of the last several years will continue contributing to growth in 2008 and beyond as these businesses are integrated and ramp-up matures.”

The firm, a supplier of drilling and other services to the energy and mining industries, said general and administrative expenses are expected to be about 30% higher in the fourth quarter of 2007 than in the third quarter of 2007.

In midday trading, FTK shares are plunging 26.83%, or $6.83, at $18.63. Over the last 52 weeks, shares have ranged from $17.55 to $31.25.

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Shannon Roxborough

Check on China: Gushan Environmental Energy Limited

Like the United States, China is pushing the development of alternative energy sources to reduce the nation's dependence on imported crude. In the face of spiraling oil prices and a domestic diesel fuel shortage, the Chinese biodiesel industry is receiving a lot of attention.

While corn-based ethanol is the most popular biofuel in the United States, biodiesel holds the top spot in China. Biodiesel is a clean-burning ("carbon neutral") and biodegradable fuel produced from feedstocks like waste oil (old cooking oil from restaurants), vegetable oil offal and animal fat, typically blended with standard diesel fuel, then used in trucks, buses, ships and electrical generators. The byproducts of biodiesel production are used in the food, manufacturing and pharmaceutical industries.

Gushan Environmental Energy Limited (NYSE: GU), the People's Republic of China's largest biodiesel producer in terms of annual production capacity, is betting on the growing use of biodiesel and the push toward a more energy independent China. In addition to providing biodiesel to individual retail gas stations, petroleum wholesales and seagoing vessels, Gushan sells by-products from the production process (glycerine, stearic acid, erucic acid, erucic amide and plant asphalt). The company operates three production plants in the Sichuan, Fujian and Hebei provinces and plans to soon add four new facilities in Beijing, Shanghai, Hunan and Chongqing, to more than double its annual production capacity to 400,000 tons by the end of this year. 

Last month Gushan staged an initial public offering on the New York Stock Exchange, raising $173 million (18 million shares at $9.60), though the stock was priced well below the expected range of $11.50 to $13.50. Since then, shares weathered cooling U.S. capital markets and rose to $12.72 on Jan. 3, before slowly falling back to the $9 range. Gushan’s 52-week low is $7. The company plans to use the IPO proceeds to fund expansion efforts and to strengthen research and development.

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Jennifer Allen

AZZ Inc.: Power play

It helps to have friends in power, and AZZ Inc. (Nasdaq: AZZ) is making a gridful of them. By selling the essentials for power generation, transmission and distribution, AZZ is taking part in the flush times of its customers, building profits as it powers up the industry.

The dynamics of AZZ’s business is au courant. It is benefitting from the need for replacement equipment for the aging distribution substation and transmission grid market, expansionary spending in the petro-chemical market and the recovery of the power generation market. It balances sales across the power and industrial markets.

In addition to electrical equipment and components for global markets, Fort Worth, Texas-based AZZ provides hot dip galvanizing to steel products in the United States, a process that forestalls erosion. In fiscal 2007, the company’s electrical and industrial products segment accounted for 58% of sales, and galvanizing 42%.

Speaking on the fiscal 2008 third quarter conference call Jan. 4, CEO David Dingus said that not only is the power generation market encouraging, but “the maintenance of announced build schedules of new power generation plants, the emphasis on renewables such as wind energy, and the addition of scrubbers to existing facilities should continue to positively impact our market and orders in future quarters.”

The CEO’s remarks came as the company raised net income guidance for fiscal 2008 through February to $2.12 to $2.22 per diluted share, the highest in the 51-year history of the company and up from $1.95 to $2.05 previously. Revenues were projected in the range of $315 million to $325 million, unchanged from previous expectations.

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Ann C. Logue

IPO Watch: OGE Enogex Partners L.P.

OGE Enogex Partners L.P.
www.enogexpartners.com
NYSE: OGP
Scheduled for the week of Jan. 14
$142.5 million estimated proceeds
$468.5 million estimated post-money valuation

The University of Oklahoma’s football team lost its bowl game, which made me sad because the coach’s father was my high school American history teacher. Yes, there’s a tangential relationship between my anecdote and the OGE Enogex Partners IPO: OGE is Oklahoma Gas and Electric, and its parent company, OGE Energy, is spinning out its gas midstream services business that collects natural gas from wells in Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle, then processes, transports and stores the gas until other utility companies need it.

This business is set up as a limited partnership, offering units instead of shares. Unlike shareholders, unit holders can’t vote on the general partner or the board of directors, but they should receive good-sized cash distributions. The partnership itself doesn’t pay income taxes. Instead, it sends partners a form listing their share of the income and expenses, and then the partner pays the applicable taxes. This makes limited partnerships popular with such tax-exempt investors as pension plans and charitable endowments. When those investors buy shares in a corporation, the corporation pays taxes before making any distributions. With a limited partnership, a partner who doesn’t have to pay taxes has the potential to make bigger profits off of the investment.

OGE Enogex Partners plans to pay $0.34 per quarter ($1.35 per year) per unit, to change based on the performance of the business. If natural gas prices increase, then the partners should be making money. OGE Enogex had limited partnership income of $20.2 million on $659 million in revenue for the first nine months of 2007. It plans to pay down debt with the offering proceeds.

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Jennifer Schonberger

WSI Industries updates FY08 sales outlook

WSI Industries, Inc. (Nasdaq: WSCI), upgraded its fiscal 2008 sales outlook today on its energy business.

The company now expects to bring in between $10 million to $11 million for fiscal 2008, compared with the company’s previous guidance range of about $6 million to $8 million.

The company also noted that it has a backlog for its energy business through calendar year 2009.

WSI Industries said it will release its full year fiscal 2007 earnings on Oct. 23 after market close.

WSI Industries is a contract manufacturer specializing in the machining of complex, high-precision parts for industries, including avionics, aerospace and defense, and energy.

Shares of WSI Industries (WSCI) jumped 27.66%, or $1.43, to $6.60 at 12:24 p.m. ET. Shares of WSI Industries have been trading in the range of $2.71 to $7.15 for the past 52 weeks.

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Paul Rolfes

T-3 Energy Services: Spouting profits

The world’s unquenchable thirst for energy continues to drive exploration companies to search for new sources of oil and natural gas. After hitting paydirt, those companies must be ready to put a cap on it, which is where T-3 Energy Services, Inc. (Nasdaq: TTES) plays an important role.
 
For investors, T-3 Energy has provided something of a gusher, with a one-month return of 34.3%, a three-month return of 21.7% and a 12-month return of 122.5%, according to Thomson Financial’s calculations. The stock hit a 52-week high Wednesday of $46.52, and in a rising stock market there has been little reason for it to fall back. That’s a huge improvement over T-3 Energy’s 52-week low of $18.04, seen on Jan. 30.
 
The driving question that investors are trying to answer is how much upside potential remains for T-3 Energy—can they expect a continuation of that gusher or will profits dry up to a trickle?
 
T-3 Energy was created in 2000 through the combination of Cor-Val and Preferred Industries. But the Houston-based company’s roots in the energy industry are deep, extending back for more than 25 years.
 
T-3 designs, manufactures, repairs and services the equipment used to drill and complete new oil and gas wells in both land-based and offshore operations. In an industry where parts failure is not an option, many of the big exploration and pipeline companies are customers of T-3 Energy; their operations depend on its valves, wellheads and other devices that are engineered to handle intense pressure of 15,000 pounds per square inch and beyond.

T-3 Energy has 18 manufacturing operations spread across North America. The company noted in its 2006 annual report that from April 2003 through March 9, 2007, it had introduced 43 new products as it places an emphasis on new-product development in a push to become a major original equipment manufacturer.

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Jennifer Schonberger

Energy Focus to install lighting systems in Wal-Mart stores

Shares of Energy Focus, Inc. (Nasdaq: EFOI) are rocketing after the energy-efficient lighting technologies company, formerly known as Fiberstars, Inc, said it will install its downlight system in a Wal-Mart Super Center and a Sam's Club in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico.

“By using our highly efficient lighting system, these Wal-Mart stores can expect to see significantly lower energy, maintenance and cooling costs over fluorescent, incandescent, and other traditional lighting technologies,” said Energy Focus CEO John Davenport.

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, lighting is the biggest energy expense for retailers, accounting for 37% of total energy use in retail buildings and more than 22% of electricity costs for the average grocery store.

The two Wal-Mart stores are part of Wal-Mart de Mexico, which includes 122 Super Centers, 78 Sam's Clubs and employs 142,000 people across the country. In 2005, Wal-Mart de Mexico net sales increased 13.7% to $15.4 billion.  

Shares of Energy Focus (EFOI) gained $1.30, or 23.21%, to $6.90 in midday trading.

 

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Jennifer Schonberger

Teton Energy Corp. CFO resigns

Shares of Teton Energy Corp. (Amex: TEC) are rising today after the developer and producer of natural gas and oil reported that its Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Bill I. Pennington, resigned for personal reasons.

Teton said Mr. Pennington will actively work with the firm during the recruiting process. The firm said it has retained Preng and Associates, a Houston based executive placement firm, to conduct the search for a new CFO.

According to Teton, Mr. Pennington will join Teton’s board as an outside Director on September 14.

Shares of Teton gained $0.26, or 5.49%, to $5.00 in mid-morning trading Friday.

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Peter Morton

Canada Connection: Advantage, small-caps

At the half-way point of 2007, Canada’s small-cap fund managers have extended their winning streak.

For the third consecutive quarter, the country's small-cap managers outperformed their counterpart large-cap managers, according to Russell Investment Canada's report for the second quarter ended June 30. (Based in Tacoma, Russell Investment Group says it advises institutional clients with total assets of over C$2.0 trillion. Russell follows 31 small-cap Canadian funds and 75 large-cap ones.)
              
Kathleen Wylie, Russell's senior research analyst, said in her review that the median small-cap manager returned 7.1% during the most recent three-month period, compared with the median large-cap manager return of 6.4%.
              
That is largely because Canadian small-cap managers won out by having a smaller weight in the broadly underperforming Canadian financial services sector. Small caps had an average of 14% in that sector, compared with 30% for large cap.
               
As well, small-cap managers on average had roughly 12% of their portfolios in the positive consumer discretionary sector, compared with only a 5% weight by large-cap managers.
              
Wylie noted that despite the rally in resource prices such as oil and base metals in 2005 and most of 2006, small-cap managers still lagged their large-cap counterparts.
               
"However, we're half-way through the year and I'm still more encouraged by the active management environment (among small-cap managers) now than I have been in the last couple of years when the market was dominated by resource stocks," she said. 

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Tony Martin

Delphi Energy Corp.: Value play?

With last winter basically a no-show in much of North America, it’s no surprise that oil and natural gas prices fought a largely losing battle against warm weather.

As certain energy prices fell at various points during that time period, they also pulled down smaller oil and gas plays, leaving investors turned off. Add in service costs, rising debt levels, and Canada’s negative ruling on trusts late last fall, and it’s no surprise that smaller plays in the sector, as Acumen Capital Research notes,  “…continue to experience significant disinterest from the market.”

Yet on the other side of the equation, there are enough positives that some juniors may offer real potential for value investors.

Take Delphi Energy Corp. (TSX: DEE). With some 80% of production coming from natural gas, Delphi is in a position to profit should prices rise. But the bigger part of the Delphi story is its focus on long-term organic growth, built around a large number of development opportunities. Delphi plans to leverage these with a high-impact development program, working with what it says is a five-year inventory of defined and repeatable growth opportunities.

Delphi’s capability to achieve that goal is backed up by its track record. Over the last four years, Delphi has seen a 104% growth in production per share, 174% growth in cash flow per share, and a 60% growth in net asset value per share.

Key for a gas developer are land assets and the ability to put them into production, and Delphi scores high on both measures. Not only did it expand its undeveloped land by 63% to 86,062 net acres in 2006, it had a 90% success rate from its participation in 52 wells.

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Paul Rolfes

Gulfport Energy: Gushing with good news

A gusher of positive news has sent shares of Gulfport Energy Corp. (Nasdaq: GPOR) sharply higher in recent weeks. Just as motorists have found that pump prices have remained well above $2.50 a gallon since spring, Gulfport’s stock price is showing no signs of dropping back into its former trading range.
 
In fact, Gulfport’s share price is sending its market capitalization right out of the small-cap arena. Still, there could be some buying opportunities if there’s a market pullback – or, more likely, profit-taking by the patient investors who stuck with it. 

Gulfport Energy is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company based in Oklahoma City. The company, founded in 1997, has its principal producing properties located along the Louisiana Gulf Coast, along with some exploration activity in the Canadian oil sands and a smattering of activity in Thailand. As of Dec. 31, 2006, the company had 23.2 million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves.

Until the Gulf Coast was ripped apart by hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005, Gulfport Energy was truly a small-cap stock, trading in the $2-$5 range. Then it began taking off, riding the wave of a production fall-off and soaring oil demand.
 
The global demand for commodities, especially petroleum products, has helped push Gulfport Energy out of its stock trading rut, seemingly for good. In May, the company was listed among the top 100 growth companies compiled by BusinessWeek. Just as the big boys in the oilfields have seen their profits soar along with oil prices, Gulfport Energy’s profit has increased 308%, on average, over the past three years, BusinessWeek noted.

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Tony Martin

Canadian Hydro Developers: Right place, right time

Among the many ill effects of global warming are unusual and violent weather conditions. So there’s some poetic justice in the fact that many forces have combined to create a kind of perfect storm for Canadian Hydro Developers, Inc. (TSX: KDH), one of Canada’s leading renewable energy companies, and an undiluted, pure play on green energy.

The favorable conditions for Canadian Hydro Developers really began to find traction with the run-up in oil prices and electricity shortages following the lashing of New Orleans by Hurricane Katrina. Adding fuel to Canadian Hydro Developers’ fire has been former U.S. vice president Al Gore’s pushing of the global warming issue onto the world stage, along with the focus on the failure of the Kyoto Accord and the release of many books on climate change.

In turn, governments have stepped up support for alternative energy through subsidiaries, grants, and tax credits. Meanwhile, a system for trading emissions credits is rapidly evolving.

And sharing in the spotlight that has been focused in a surprisingly unrelenting way on global warming and the damage caused by fossil-fuel power production are green energy stocks like KHD.

Of course, as with most alternative energy companies, Canadian Hydro Developers comes with all the usual small-cap caveats and then some. Technology advances in fits and starts, and setbacks are inevitable. Government involvement and investment are still fairly integral, yet by definition often fickle and unfocused. And then there’s the long-term – and often delay-prone – nature of utilities.

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