Simply sign up to receive
Ian Wyatt's FREE daily newsletter,
Daily Profit, and we'll immediately
email you this latest research
report... Absolutely FREE

 

   To get your copy of Top Investments for 2012, simply
signup for the free Daily Profit newsletter by entering your
email address in the form above.

Daily Profit is your leading resource for stock market insight,
useful commentary and profitable stock recommendations.
And it's totally free.

Ian Wyatt

Soros Bullish on the Euro?

It was just last Thursday that we discussed "talking one's book" and made special mention of George Soros. If you missed that issue of The Daily Profit, talking one's book means advocating a belief in public that supports one's trading position, regardless of whether you actually believe it's true.

So it's interesting that Soros has a piece in today's Financial Times where he states that "The survival of Greece would still leave the future of the euro in question." He goes on to say that the aid package for Greece won't work for Spain, Italy, Portugal or Ireland.

Now, if we check the chart we can see that the U.S. dollar has been rallying. Part of the reason for this has been weakness of the euro due to debt problems in European countries.

$USD chart

The recent spike higher by the dollar was a response to the Fed's discount rate hike. And quite frankly, it looks unsustainable. I think we can assume that Soros is short the euro, and he may even be trying to cover that short right now, in anticipation of a rally for the euro.

Of course, a rally for the euro would send the U.S. dollar lower. That, in turn, will be good for U.S. stocks, gold, and oil.

[ More » ]
Ian Wyatt

Pawns in a Rich Man's Game

Bespoke Investment Group is reporting that 10% of U.S. corporations are raising earnings expectations, compared to 4.1% that are lowering them. That's the largest gap on record, and suggests that analysts still have earnings projections that are too low.

It's hard to blame the analysts for being cautious. While the economy has improved, uncertainty about unemployment is an issue. It's easy to imagine that consumer demand could drop. Still, let's not ignore what corporations are saying. After all, they are the ones in direct communication with their customers. I can't help but be a little optimistic that there is more upside for the stock market.

Don't ignore the consolidation news from the commercial real estate sector this morning. Mall owner Simon Properties (NYSE: SPG) is offering $10 billion for its rival, General Growth Properties (NYSE: GGP).

Several investors and economists believe commercial real estate will be the next shoe to drop. And within that sector, shopping malls are probably the most beaten down group. That Simon Properties is considering a buyout means that it sees opportunity. And it is moves like these that often mark a bottom for an industry or sector.

I've recommended a commercial real estate stock that may have some terrific upside. Maguire Properties (NYSE: MPG) is back to its support level at $1.50. If you didn't catch it there last time, you might want to give it a look.

[ More » ]