Oil prices are slightly lower this morning. That should mean stocks will trade lower today as well. And while many are saying the fundamentals of this economic recovery do not support current prices for stocks or oil, I wouldn’t get too excited about an imminent trade-worthy decline.
More likely, we will see any dip get bought by the bulls. And I doubt any dip will last for more than two days…
*****Sometimes, the financial markets can be very simpleminded–even downright dumb. And I believe now is one of those times. The federal government has committed to pouring as much cash into the economy as is necessary to keep prices from falling too much. And that may be all we need to know.
After all, banks can make money when they have the ability to borrow at 0.5% interest. They can make more money in fees when the government is sponsoring mortgage loan modifications. And when the government forced banks to raise more capital by selling stock, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) may have made as much as $1 billion in profit from fees associated with secondary offerings.
Car companies and banks can make money from the Cash for Clunkers programs. Auto sales rose 13% in June, helped by this program. Heck, Ford (NYSE:F) posted its first rise in sales since 2007!
*****Some estimate that 40% of the world’s wealth was lost in the wake of Lehman’s collapse and the financial crisis. The only way to get that money back is to earn it. But companies aren’t really earning money the old-fashioned way — government policies are focused on allowing companies to do just that.
Sure, it’s a form of trickle down economics. And while the long-term success may be questionable as there are always unintended consequences, make no mistake about the effect on the short-term. Assets are being reflated. Home values, stock prices, commodities – all can be expected to move higher.
*****Thanks to everyone who has sent in submissions for The Small Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small Cap Stocks T-shirt contest. In case you don’t know, my first book is coming out on September 14, 2009. As part of the marketing plan for my book, The Small Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small Cap Stocks, I’m holding a T-shirt contest. I want you to be the one who comes with the slogan for The Small Cap Investor: Secrets to Winning Big with Small Cap Stocks T-shirt.
Submissions have already been posted to the Small Cap Investor Facebook page and we’re holding this contest open for just a little longer to get your idea. Post your submission on the Small Cap Investor page on Facebook
Small Cap Investor page on Facebook send it to [email protected]. We’re keeping this open until Sunday, August 9th.
Everyone who submits a T-shirt slogan will get a 30-day, 100% complimentary trial to my SmallCapInvestor PRO advisory service. The winner gets a one-year subscription to ALL of my advisory and trading services ($2,680 value), plus a signed copy of the book and three t-shirts. Voting on the slogan will begin shortly after the 9th.
*****The Managed America video conference is coming up next Monday, August 10 at 6:00 P.M. We’ll cover the game plan for making profits in an America with sustained high unemployment, weak growth, weak banks, higher taxes, and excess government regulation. You don’t want to miss this. It’s free to attend and you can register HERE.
P.S. Tomorrow is NewsletterAdvisors.com Wednesday where we interview one of the country’s top investment experts. We’re fortunate to have Carla Pasternak of High-Yield Investing and High-Yield International, two of the leading publications for dividend and income investments. Don’t miss tomorrow’s edition of Daily Profit with our in-depth interview with Carla.