Citi CEO: “Old Certainties Are Breaking”

Citi CEO Jane Fraser says the “old certainties are breaking.”

She’s talking about the dollar… the markets… and global trade.

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There was a time when you could count on the US dollar to hold steady…

When markets followed predictable patterns…

And when America’s economic dominance felt unquestionable.

But according to Citi’s CEO, that world is gone.

As she explained in a new blog post…

“We are entering a new phase of globalization — one less defined by cooperation, and more by strategic self-interest.

Long-held assumptions are being challenged, not just by tariff announcements but by a deeper confidence shock.”

Fraser says markets aren’t offering much clarity right now.

But there are plenty of signals showing where things might be headed.

She points to rising Treasury yields – even as stocks dip.

Meanwhile, the usually safe US dollar has “weakened at moments when it used to rally.”

Fraser says this tells us something deeper is going on…

“Investors aren’t just pricing near-term risks; they’re reevaluating the credibility of long-held certainties. It’s showing up in how capital moves.

Pensions and asset managers are tilting more towards Japan, India and parts of Europe.

Hedge funds are being selective and didn’t chase the April equity bounce.

Sovereign wealth funds are diversifying more aggressively. Hedging against the dollar is now at levels we haven’t seen in years.”

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