When Guy Gottfried takes the podium in front of the world’s best value investors, you know something big is about to happen.
Over the past few years, Mr. Gottfried has attained a cult-like following only rivaled by legends like Warren Buffett. That’s because he has an uncanny knack for finding DEEP value stocks right before they take off…
The last four times he addressed attendees of the Value Investing Congress, you could have made an average of 67% by just by buying his recommended stocks. Earlier this week, I attended the latest VIC, and listening to Gottfried speak was worth the price of admission by itself…
I’ve written about him before. In fact, around our office we call him the Warren Buffett of Canada. Gottfried’s company is called Rational Investment Group, and his track record is simply impressive.
Unlike many hedge fund managers, Gottfried has a low profile and avoids the media. Google his name, and you won’t find much. However, twice a year he pops up at the VIC to share his top investment idea.
At a conference known for super-star investors, Gottfried was chosen to be the first speaker at this year’s conference in New York City on the strength of his presentations’ track record. Simply put, when he talks, people buy shares in a way that would make Jim Cramer blush.
Guy Gottfriend Is Buying This Small Cap Stock
One of his top investment ideas from the VIC is a company called Supremex Inc. (Toronto: SXP). It’s a small cap Canadian stock that trades at $1.84 Canadian (all figures in this article will be in Canadian dollars). For U.S. investors, the stock also trades on the OTC market under the ticker symbol SUMFX.
Supremex is one of the most boring businesses in the world. The company is in the envelope business, and is the biggest player in Canada. Yes, plain vanilla envelopes used for letters, account statements, and direct mail.
The envelope business is no doubt shrinking. That’s a fact that everyone knows, and it’s one of the reasons this stock is so cheap.
Why on earth would an investor want to own shares of Supremex? The bottom line is that this company is a cash machine. The company’s EBITDA – or a calculation of business earnings before various accounting adjustments – was $16 million in the first half of 2013. And that was a 39% increase from the year earlier.
Gottfried convincingly argues that the stock is dirt-cheap. Shares today trade at around $1.80 or just three-times the free cash flow of the business.
The stock is so cheap primarily because the company slashed its dividend by 90% a few years ago. The share price plunged as a result – falling from $10 in 2006 to as low as $1 earlier this year. With only one investment bank analyst following this small cap stock, the company gets little attention.
Today the company pays a quarterly dividend of $0.03. Annualized, that 12-cent dividend translates into a yield of 6.6%. Today Supremex makes plenty of profits to cover its dividend. In fact, the dividend payout ratio is just 23%.
Now that alone might be enough to attract investors to this high yield stock. To unlock shareholder value, Gottfried is advocating a big increase in the company’s dividend. He thinks Supremex could easily double its dividend payment, which would translate into a 13% yield.
Immediately following Gottfried’s presentation at the Value Investing Congress, I bought shares of Supremex in my personal investment account at $1.86. After climbing to a 52-week high of $2.09 on Tuesday, shares have pulled back to $1.84.
I tried buying more shares yesterday, but my order wasn’t executed. And I intend to buy more shares today, and continue building a small position in the stock.
To be perfectly blunt, Supremex is a very tiny company with a market cap of just $54 million. It’s so small that I would normally avoid telling you about this opportunity. Shares are extremely illiquid – it averages just 21,000 shares of volume per day. Compared with most dividend stocks I recommend, Supremex is a higher-risk, higher-reward opportunity.
But if the company does double its dividend, I expect the share price to follow suit. And that’s why I’m building a small position in this stock. If you’re looking for dividends plus growth potential, look no further…
P.S. Words of warning: Given the small size of Supremex, the small share float, and low average daily volume, investors should use caution when buying this stock. I highly recommend using limit orders when buying this stock. On Monday alone, this stock rose 16% when 290,000 shares traded hands.
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